Canadian County: Mustang & El Reno’s $383,724 Visitor-Spending Model, the Rainout Test & the Public-Benefit Ledger
Mustang · El Reno · historical tournament models · public park agreements · audit distinctions · youth sports access
November 1, 2026 · Source seasons 2003–2023 / underlying event dates 2003–2022 · Authoritative September 20, 2026 Hidden Valley CSV · RESEARCH DRAFT — NOT PUBLISHED
1. Executive summary — the Canadian County two-city verification test
The September 20 baseline contains 44 event groups with some Canadian County reference and 128 Canadian-referencing division rows. Applying the primary-host venue rule, 32 events, 86 divisions and 652 team participations form a provisional, internally consistent single-county ledger. The labels place 24 events in Mustang at Wildhorse Park and eight events in El Reno. Twelve cross-county or cross-facility event groups, containing 42 Canadian-referencing rows, are quarantined, not apportioned. This rule is intentionally conservative and may undercount Canadian activity until primary playing fields are established. [S1]
Within that restricted ledger, source-modeled activity comprises $130,673 gross team-entry fees, $178,800 gross gate, $89,400 gross concessions, and $383,724 modeled gross visitor spending. These are distinct conceptual measures; they must not be totaled into one economic-impact claim. The most important exception is one event explicitly named “Rainout – Mustang’s Firecracker Classic”: it nevertheless carries $11,100 of modeled admission fees. Its archived title is a verification warning, not proof of games, visitors, purchases, or losses. [S16]
2. Countywide tournament and financial metrics
| Countywide research field | Canadian County — source model |
|---|---|
| Distinct source event groups | 32 |
| Division rows included | 86 |
| Team participations, not unique individual teams | 652 |
| Modeled gross team-entry fees | $130,673 |
| Modeled gross gate admissions | $178,800 |
| Modeled gross concessions | $89,400 |
| Scenario-net concession margin 30% | $26,820 |
| Scenario-net concession margin 50% | $44,700 |
| Scenario-net concession margin 70% | $62,580 |
| Modeled minimum games | 1,750 |
| Modeled umpire assignment slots | 3,009 |
| Modeled umpire payments | $120,360 |
| Modeled USSSA sanction fees | $8,920 |
| Source TotalEventIncome — mixed gross model | $398,873 |
| Source TotalEventNet — incomplete calculation, NOT audited profit | $269,593 |
| Modeled DayImpact | $55,420 |
| Modeled OvernightImpact | $328,304 |
| Modeled TotalEconomicImpactPerEvent (sum of division rows) | $383,724 |
Source reporting spans distinct archive seasons 2003–2005 and 2020–2023 (some season-2021 through season-2023 events occurred in the prior calendar year). There is no implied continuous annual coverage for intervening years. Team participations are summed per division/event and do not represent 652 distinct organizations or unique children. The model’s umpire “TotalEventUmpires” counts assignments or game slots, not distinct employed umpires.
TotalEventIncome − TotalEventUmpireFees − TotalUSSSASanctionFees. It excludes facility rent, concession food and labor costs, equipment, refunds, insurance, event cancellations, municipal public costs, state taxes, opportunity costs and many other necessary expenses. It is not actual profit or cash retained by an identifiable organizer. Concession scenario-net values are independent 30/50/70% retention assumptions, not additionally earned money.3. Municipality and source-facility reconciliation — full required measures
Each division has exactly one retained municipality and facility label for the included ledger, producing an exact, non-overlapping aggregation. The separate municipality and facility tables are alternative hierarchical views of the same money and activity; never add the two views together. “Municipality” means presumed place of play for analytical reporting, NOT confirmed legal owner. Documented county, tribal, school or private title would override any simplistic city-owned presumption. {refs(2)} {refs(3)} {refs(4)}
3A. Municipality activity
| Area / source label | Events | Divisions | Teams | Minimum games | Official assignment slots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Reno | 8 | 19 | 92 | 213 | 355 |
| Mustang | 24 | 67 | 560 | 1,537 | 2,654 |
| CANADIAN COUNTY TOTAL | 32 | 86 | 652 | 1,750 | 3,009 |
3A. Municipality finance and scenario-net concessions
| Area / source label | Gross entry | Modeled gross gate | Gross concessions | Concession net 30% | Concession net 50% | Concession net 70% | Modeled umpire cost | Sanction fees |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Reno | $11,387 | $27,000 | $13,500 | $4,050 | $6,750 | $9,450 | $14,200 | $1,520 |
| Mustang | $119,286 | $151,800 | $75,900 | $22,770 | $37,950 | $53,130 | $106,160 | $7,400 |
| CANADIAN COUNTY TOTAL | $130,673 | $178,800 | $89,400 | $26,820 | $44,700 | $62,580 | $120,360 | $8,920 |
3B. Facility activity
| Area / source label | Events | Divisions | Teams | Minimum games | Official assignment slots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Reno · El Reno Youth Baseball | 5 | 13 | 59 | 135 | 220 |
| El Reno · Joe E. Riley Softball Complex | 3 | 6 | 33 | 78 | 135 |
| Mustang · Wildhorse Park | 24 | 67 | 560 | 1,537 | 2,654 |
| CANADIAN COUNTY TOTAL | 32 | 86 | 652 | 1,750 | 3,009 |
3B. Facility finance and scenario-net concessions
| Area / source label | Gross entry | Modeled gross gate | Gross concessions | Concession net 30% | Concession net 50% | Concession net 70% | Modeled umpire cost | Sanction fees |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Reno · El Reno Youth Baseball | $7,426 | $17,100 | $8,550 | $2,565 | $4,275 | $5,985 | $8,800 | $965 |
| El Reno · Joe E. Riley Softball Complex | $3,961 | $9,900 | $4,950 | $1,485 | $2,475 | $3,465 | $5,400 | $555 |
| Mustang · Wildhorse Park | $119,286 | $151,800 | $75,900 | $22,770 | $37,950 | $53,130 | $106,160 | $7,400 |
| CANADIAN COUNTY TOTAL | $130,673 | $178,800 | $89,400 | $26,820 | $44,700 | $62,580 | $120,360 | $8,920 |
Attribution status: Mustang’s city parks listing and the state tourism listing establish a municipal-park context for Wild Horse Park at 1201 N. Mustang Road; they are not parcel deeds. The archived El Reno source lists both “El Reno Youth Baseball” and “Joe E. Riley Softball Complex” at 715 Morrison Avenue; those names are preserved separately, not assumed legally identical. A July 14, 2026 city agenda refers to Joe Riley fields at Legion Park; a current facility/map/property crosswalk, actual user agreement and historical locations must be obtained before resolving whether the reference points refer to the same parcel or operating footprint. {refs(2)} {refs(3)} {refs(4)}
4. Dedicated countywide modeled economic-impact analysis
Data-field distinction: In this CSV the confusing label TotalEconomicImpactPerEvent is stored on each division row, not as one independent unique-event total. We sum each of the 86 original division-row records exactly once; we do not multiply a typical event by 32 or select one division to stand in for an event. The components are modeled gross visitor-spending scenarios and are not independently verified incremental economic benefits.
4A. Exact row-level formulas and a reproducible worked example
DayImpact = TeamsEntered × DayTripRate × DayStay; OvernightImpact = TeamsEntered × NightTripRate × OverNightStay; TotalEconomicImpactPerEvent = DayImpact + OvernightImpact. Each expression is evaluated for each individual division row before summing to facility, municipality and county totals. {refs(1)} {refs(17)}
13825-1 (event started September 17, 2022). TeamsEntered = 9. Its stored rate and duration fields are DayTripRate = $85, DayStay = 1, NightTripRate = $289 and OverNightStay = 1. Therefore DayImpact = 9 × $85 × 1 = $765 and OvernightImpact = 9 × $289 × 1 = $2,601; the division row’s TotalEconomicImpactPerEvent = $3,366. None of these values establishes actual overnight visitors or local expenditure.Actual included-row rates and stays were preserved, not homogenized: All 86 included rows happen to show DayTripRate = $85, NightTripRate = $289, and DayStay = 1. But OverNightStay varies: 63 division rows model two nights, 22 rows model one night, and one row models zero nights. The zero-night row is “May Match Up” in source season 2022. This observed lack of rate variation within this restricted county subset should not be misrepresented as a universal rate across the statewide dataset. The source nights appear modeled from event duration, not verified room bookings.
| Countywide CSV economic-impact field | Sum of included division rows |
|---|---|
| DayImpact | $55,420 |
| OvernightImpact | $328,304 |
| TotalEconomicImpactPerEvent | $383,724 |
| Day + Overnight (independent recomputation) | $383,724 |
| Arithmetic reconciliation difference | $0 |
4B. Municipality visitor-spending reconciliation
| Area | Distinct events | Division rows | DayImpact | OvernightImpact | TotalEconomicImpactPerEvent |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Reno | 8 | 19 | $7,820 | $51,442 | $59,262 |
| Mustang | 24 | 67 | $47,600 | $276,862 | $324,462 |
| CANADIAN COUNTY — TOTAL | 32 | 86 | $55,420 | $328,304 | $383,724 |
4C. Facility visitor-spending reconciliation
| Area | Distinct events | Division rows | DayImpact | OvernightImpact | TotalEconomicImpactPerEvent |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Reno · El Reno Youth Baseball | 5 | 13 | $5,015 | $32,368 | $37,383 |
| El Reno · Joe E. Riley Softball Complex | 3 | 6 | $2,805 | $19,074 | $21,879 |
| Mustang · Wildhorse Park | 24 | 67 | $47,600 | $276,862 | $324,462 |
| CANADIAN COUNTY — TOTAL | 32 | 86 | $55,420 | $328,304 | $383,724 |
TotalEventNet without a same-dollar expenditure overlap analysis—doing so risks double counting and falsely presenting profit or public return.5. Source formula audit, row-level assumptions and reconciliation controls
For the included 86 division records, all fifteen explicitly tested financial and economic expressions reconcile to the displayed source values without an arithmetic mismatch. This establishes only that the CSV’s columns are internally formula-consistent, not that any game, admission, sanction payment, room night, wage or expense occurred. The source minimum-games expression is an empirically inferred calculation pattern, not a statement that a particular schedule was played. The associated formula-audit CSV provides checks and discrepancy counts.
| Source column | Row-level model expression | Rows matching |
|---|---|---|
| DayImpact | TeamsEntered * DayTripRate * DayStay | 86 / 86 |
| OvernightImpact | TeamsEntered * NightTripRate * OverNightStay | 86 / 86 |
| TotalEconomicImpactPerEvent | DayImpact + OvernightImpact | 86 / 86 |
| TotalTeamEntryFee | TeamsEntered * EntryFeePerTeam | 86 / 86 |
| TotalMinimumGamesPlayed | ROUND_HALF_UP(TeamsEntered * (MinGameGuarantee + 2)/2 - 1) [inferred model pattern] | 86 / 86 |
| TeamUsssaSanctionFees | TeamsEntered * UsssaTeamSanctionFee | 86 / 86 |
| DailyFans | TeamsEntered * 20 | 86 / 86 |
| TotalGateAdmissionFee | DailyFans * DailyAdmissionFee | 86 / 86 |
| TotalEventGate | DailyFans * DailyAdmissionFee * TotalEventDays | 86 / 86 |
| TotalEventConcession | TotalEventGate * 0.50 | 86 / 86 |
| TotalEventUmpires | TotalMinimumGamesPlayed * UmpiresPerGame | 86 / 86 |
| TotalEventUmpireFees | TotalEventUmpires * UmpirePayPerGame | 86 / 86 |
| TotalUSSSASanctionFees | TeamUsssaSanctionFees + EventUsssaSanctionFees | 86 / 86 |
| TotalEventIncome | TotalTeamEntryFee + TotalEventGate + TotalEventConcession | 86 / 86 |
| TotalEventNet | TotalEventIncome - TotalEventUmpireFees - TotalUSSSASanctionFees | 86 / 86 |
Additional assumptions and column definitions: DailyFans is exactly TeamsEntered × 20 for all included rows; DailyAdmissionFee is $5 in every included division; TotalEventDays varies between one and three days; UmpiresPerGame varies between one and two slots; UmpirePayPerGame is $40; UsssaTeamSanctionFee is $10; source EventUsssaSanctionFees is entered at the division level where applicable. EntryFeePerTeam varies from $0 to $290 (not one citywide price). MinGameGuarantee varies from three to five. Source TotalMinimumGamesPlayed exactly follows the inferred ROUND_HALF_UP(TeamsEntered × (MinGameGuarantee + 2) / 2 − 1) pattern for all included rows, but is a modeled minimum-games estimate, not a verified played-game count. Concession revenue uses the independent source assumption of 50% of modeled gate. Proposed 30%, 50%, 70% concession net retention scenarios are illustrative and not the original gross concession column or proven restaurant profit.
Event count reconstruction: The source TournamentID is division-suffixed; “unique events” combine Seasonid with the base TournamentID after removing the final numeric division suffix. Source EventUrl provides an independent archive identifier for checking. Geographic inclusion uses County, Municipality and Facility; no mixed-county event is split by dividing receipts equally among county labels. Sums are recomputed from source row fields rather than manually transcribed totals. County / municipality / facility arithmetic differences are all $0 and all included 86 rows are counted exactly once in each geographical tier. {refs(1)}
6. Source rainout: $11,100 of modeled gate without proof of play
One 2021 archived event explicitly titled “Rainout – Mustang’s Firecracker Classic” contains five division rows, 37 team participations, $8,262 model entry fees, $11,100 modeled gross gate, $5,550 modeled gross concessions, $7,000 modeled umpire cost and $24,531 modeled visitor spending. Nothing in the CSV verifies whether any rescheduled games occurred, registration was refunded, gate fees were collected or staff were paid. The word “Rainout” makes it essential to display the original ledger and a separate sensitivity excluding that entire event; no adjustment is silently applied. [S16]
| Metric | Baseline including rainout | Rainout-only model | Sensitivity excluding rainout |
|---|---|---|---|
| Distinct source event groups | 32 | 1 | 31 |
| Division rows | 86 | 5 | 81 |
| Team participations | 652 | 37 | 615 |
| Modeled entry | $130,673 | $8,262 | $122,411 |
| Modeled gate | $178,800 | $11,100 | $167,700 |
| Gross concessions | $89,400 | $5,550 | $83,850 |
| Minimum games | 1,750 | 106 | 1,644 |
| Official slots | 3,009 | 175 | 2,834 |
| Modeled umpire cost | $120,360 | $7,000 | $113,360 |
| Sanctions | $8,920 | $445 | $8,475 |
| DayImpact | $55,420 | $3,145 | $52,275 |
| OvernightImpact | $328,304 | $21,386 | $306,918 |
| Gross modeled visitor spending | $383,724 | $24,531 | $359,193 |
7. Unresolved 12-event cross-county watchlist — no geographic revenue apportionment
12 mixed-location event groups contain 42 Canadian-referencing division records. Those 42 rows include 765 team participations and $677,994 in source-modeled visitor spending. Because each event spans or references other counties and/or facilities, none of these numbers is assigned to the Canadian County totals, and they are not Canadian-specific verified economic impacts. Across all affected 12 original event groups there are more records for other counties, further underscoring why allocating by label or arbitrary fractions would be misleading.
| Season–base ID | Event / search label | Canadian-mentioned rows | Those rows’ modeled spending | Event source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-8367 | B12 Memorial Day Shootout | 4 | $57,120 | Source-listed USSSA link |
| 2020-9320 | B12 Memorial Day Shootout 5GG | 6 | $70,448 | Source-listed USSSA link |
| 2020-9629 | Mustang 4GG July Shootout | 5 | $33,813 | Source-listed USSSA link |
| 2020-9815 | 7th Annual El Gigante NIT 8GG (10u, 14u) | 1 | $9,282 | Source-listed USSSA link |
| 2020-9875 | B Level Ring Showdown 4GG | 1 | $13,923 | Source-listed USSSA link |
| 2021-10635 | B12 Memorial Day Shootout Stay‐to‐Play | 6 | $134,232 | Source-listed USSSA link |
| 2021-13149 | ROAD TO THE SHOW – NO STAY TO PLAY – WCWS | 1 | $10,608 | Source-listed USSSA link |
| 2022-11180 | 5GG Memorial Day Shootout Stay-to-Play | 7 | $134,232 | Source-listed USSSA link |
| 2022-13741 | Road to the Show – WCWS – NO Stay to Play 5GG | 2 | $38,454 | Source-listed USSSA link |
| 2023-11791 | 5GG Memorial Day Shootout Stay-to-Play | 3 | $65,688 | Source-listed USSSA link |
| 2024-12416 | 5GG Memorial Day Shootout Stay‑to‑Play | 5 | $100,912 | Source-listed USSSA link |
| 2024-12530 | MWC Brawl on the Turf 4GG Shootout Stay-to-Play | 1 | $9,282 | Source-listed USSSA link |
| UNRESOLVED — EXCLUDED | 12 multi-location groups | 42 | $677,994 | Not allocated |
Verification priority: obtain event permits, dated park reservations, archived bracket field assignments and historical site maps for Memorial Day / WCWS multi-location events, Union City High School and other school venues. Where a documented event primarily occurred at a county-owned, tribal, school-district, privately owned or other nonmunicipal site, assign it to that facility’s verified county, and label its actual owner correctly. Retain genuinely multi-location unresolved entries until the primary playing facility can be substantiated. Do not use an event’s sales address or marketing label as a substitute.
8. Municipality collaboration, facilities, ownership and local youth programs
Mustang — Wild Horse Park and youth baseball/softball
The authoritative tourism listing describes Wild Horse Park as a 158-acre public recreation park with six baseball and five softball fields, at 1201 N. Mustang Road. The City of Mustang maintains an official baseball-complex page and parks department at that address. Both support a city-park governance inquiry, but neither document alone is a legally recorded title instrument or an executed tournament agreement. The source archive spells the facility “Wildhorse Park”; the official attraction spells it “Wild Horse Park.” We preserve the source label for computation and use the official spelling in narrative only. {refs(2)} {refs(3)}
Mustang Youth Baseball & Softball publicly describes league schedules, tournament rules and rainout notification procedures. Its currently displayed adult league gate is $6 (with $4 for specified groups), versus the source’s flat historical $5 modeled tournament admission. This comparison shows why current policy cannot establish what was charged at any 2020–2022 event; the archive’s 20-fans-per-team assumption likewise cannot replace ticket counts. Confirm which entity hosted each event, who controlled facility calendars, how youth league priorities and tournament weekend allocations were set, and whether fees or concessions were held by the city, a youth league or an independent organizer. {refs(13)}
El Reno — two historical labels, Joe Riley and a 2026 proposed city user agreement
El Reno’s July 14, 2026 amended City Council agenda item E.3 proposes approval of a user agreement with the El Reno Youth Softball Association for use of Joe Riley Complex softball fields at Legion Park. An agenda proposal is not proof of a passed vote, signed contract, payment, land ownership or subsequent compliance. Obtain the approved minutes and fully executed agreement, and compare them with the source’s 2003 Joe E. Riley Softball Complex rows and 2004–2005 El Reno Youth Baseball rows, both carrying the historical address 715 Morrison Avenue. These distinct names are not merged or assigned an unproved common deed. {refs(4)} {refs(19)}
The research team’s October 31 records inquiry also asks about the City’s alleged transition to direct youth baseball administration and an October 23, 2025 Parks and Recreation Board discussion. Those are topics of inquiry stated in the request, not independently verified changes or council findings in this report. {refs(15)}
9. Public financing and who actually collected the money?
The source does not identify the legal recipient for any of the $130,673 modeled entry, $178,800 modeled admissions or $89,400 modeled concessions. Municipal public cost may include construction, debt, utilities, mowing, restrooms, lighting, security and capital replacement even when a league collects admissions or concessions. Conversely, source-computed activity should not be treated as money received by a city or county in the absence of municipal general-ledger entries, contract terms and deposited receipts.
Separate the financial ledgers for (1) municipal taxes, appropriations and bond proceeds; (2) operator facility rentals and concessions; (3) independent director entry fees and sponsor money; (4) actual expenses and reimbursement; (5) reserved/donated field use; (6) direct local youth scholarships and community access. For meaningful public-benefit testing, match each entry to a permitted facility, season and governmental reporting obligation. No amount from the modeling columns is a substitute for receipts, invoices, bank records or audited finance.
10. Independent audits: municipal, county, and Oklahoma State Auditor scopes
El Reno: Its Finance Department describes municipal revenue collection, budget monitoring, bank reconciliation and financial reporting, and the City publishes FY2025 and earlier financial audit / single-audit links. Those citywide financial statements have not been independently reconciled to these 32 archived event groups; no particular tournament-related irregularity or clean bill of sports-operator health is attributed to them. {refs(5)} {refs(6)}
Mustang: An official city notice published December 2, 2022 says independent fiscal-year-2018 financial statements had no material weaknesses or audit findings. That is a historical statement about the 2018 municipal engagement, not an all-period audit result, and it does not establish the source’s 2020–2022 tournament model actually collected revenue. Current, full audited statements and any parks enterprise schedules still require independent transaction matching. {refs(7)}
Canadian County government: The County Clerk posts its own historical audits separately from the municipal audits. In the State Auditor’s December 31, 2024 County Treasurer statutory report (issued in 2025), the auditor reported no exceptions noted within specifically limited bank reconciliation, investment and collateral procedures. The report explicitly disclaims any opinion on the County’s basic financial statements because the engagement was less than a full financial-statement audit. This limited result cannot be applied to separate Mustang or El Reno municipal park accounts or to private event organizers. {refs(8)} {refs(9)} {refs(18)}
11. Jurisdiction, court cases and the evidentiary standard
Canadian County lies within Oklahoma District Attorney District 4, which also serves Blaine, Garfield, Grant and Kingfisher counties. The prosecutor’s authority concerns appropriate criminal matters within lawful venue and jurisdiction; it does not replace municipal records custody, civil accounting claims, nonprofit governance review, local elections, or an independent audit. A private disagreement or an unanswered records request is not itself a crime. {refs(10)}
Official court cases / outcomes: This installment establishes no independently verified Canadian County sports-facility case number, criminal charge, civil judgment, injunction, conviction, dismissal or final disposition about the included event groups. The statewide dataset contains generic columns linking to unrelated broad litigation materials; those links must not be treated as proof a Canadian County city, league, volunteer, public officer or event director was a party, liable or guilty. A case may be reported only after checking party identity, court, filed pleadings, signed orders, appeals and outcome in an official docket such as OSCN; allegations and filed complaints are not findings. {refs(11)}
12. Existing public-records requests — documented submissions and remaining questions
| City / subject | Documented request date | Observed status at Nov. 1, 2026 | Existing records sought | Priority follow-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mustang | October 29, 2026 | Outgoing email and signed City request form documented; no substantive production established | Wild Horse Park; city ownership records; 2001–2026 development/costs; 2022 CVBA inquiry; 2020–2022 facility calendars; user agreements; admissions/concessions and municipal ledger entries | Request acknowledgment, tracking number, agreements, reservation logs, revenue custodian, fee itemization |
| El Reno | October 31, 2026 at 9:03 a.m. | Outgoing email with completed City form and comprehensive request documented; no substantive city response established | Joe E. Riley / Legion Park; 2001–2026 youth baseball/softball; July 14, 2026 proposed user agreement; Parks board; facility financing, allocations, receipts and operator reporting | Request acknowledgment, approved minutes, signed user agreement, separate historical venue/deed map, staged financial production |
These were already transmitted before this article and are supported by the research archive’s outgoing emails and completed forms. No additional public-records request is submitted by this publication draft. The Mustang archive shows a City Clerk communication on October 29 asking for completion of its form; the archive then records the completed-form response. For El Reno, the outgoing email date is October 31, 2026 despite an archival PDF filename beginning “10-30-2026.” The existence of a sent email does not independently prove receipt, processing, completeness or agency response. {refs(14)} {refs(15)}
Prioritize the high-value records: (a) executed facility-use agreements and amendments, including fee, concession, insurance, scheduling, local youth access and reporting clauses; (b) calendar and bracket-to-field crosswalk for all 32 included and 12 excluded events; (c) cancellations and refunds for the rainout; (d) deposit reports, invoices, concession settlement, gate rules, tournament permits and actual money custodian by event; (e) city spending on field capital, mowing, utilities, maintenance and debt; (f) scholarships, waivers, volunteer service and resident participation; (g) City minutes/records documenting 2026 El Reno user-agreement authorization, and (h) parcel deeds and easements to verify actual owner. Ask for a written itemized fee estimate, phased digital release and an explanatory no-records statement where relevant. {refs(12)} {refs(20)}
13. Research methodology, transparency and correction protocol
- Baseline: preserve original
AIUSSSA - HVIOG 9-20-2026.csvdivision rows, original source headers and links. No previous September 10 figures are substituted. - Event identity: strip final division suffix from
TournamentID, pair withSeasonidand count distinct keys, retainingEventUrlfor archive checks. - Primary playing facility rule: include only an event when all division rows agree on one Canadian County, single-municipality and single-facility source label. Exclude mixed-event groups pending independent bracket/reservation evidence. This conservative criterion is not proof of play for included events.
- Owner classification: list the municipality for analytical reporting but do not infer legal title; documented school, county, tribal, private or city ownership replaces assumptions.
- Monetary models: use source
TeamsEntered,EntryFeePerTeam,DailyFans,DailyAdmissionFee,TotalEventDays,TotalEventConcession,TotalMinimumGamesPlayed,UmpiresPerGame,UmpirePayPerGame,TeamUsssaSanctionFees,EventUsssaSanctionFees,TotalUSSSASanctionFees,TotalEventIncomeandTotalEventNetas model fields. - Visitor spending: compute
DayImpact,OvernightImpact,TotalEconomicImpactPerEventfrom each division’sTeamsEntered,DayTripRate,DayStay,NightTripRate, andOverNightStay; preserve actual variations. - Integrity checks: 86/86 exact matches for all fifteen reported formulas; every event included once; all municipality and facility sums reconcile to the county, independently.
- Exception and corrections: retain the original explicitly named rainout, separately recompute a no-rainout sensitivity, publish 12 unresolved event groups and reconcile new proof against archived source keys. Correct wrong data in a dated change log rather than silently replacing original entries.
14. Right of response, civic participation and editorial safeguards
Before promoting modeling discrepancies into factual claims, offer the City of Mustang, City of El Reno, Mustang Youth Baseball & Softball, El Reno Youth Softball Association, relevant tournament organizers and any verified private/school/county property custodian a reasonable opportunity to provide agreements, transaction summaries, rainout documentation, scheduling records and contextual corrections. No responses from these parties have been solicited by this draft beyond the two existing open-records requests. Their silence must not be treated as acceptance, guilt or validation of the models.
Corrections should record: date; prior statement; source/event ID; new primary source; requested change; verification; revised county/municipality/facility totals; and any responsive party’s view. Retain contested facts as unresolved when proof is insufficient. Protect minors’ personal information, refrain from naming individual players and do not present public-school or tribal property as city-owned without title evidence.
15. Numbered primary-source and research archive register
Official government records are preferred for ownership, policy, audits and legal procedure. The September 20 Hidden Valley CSV is the reproducible quantitative modeling source, not an audited source of real cash; user-held outgoing emails document records-request submission, not agency production. The USSSA event links substantiate archived listings, not actual attendance or receipts.
- [S1] Primary division-row source — AIUSSSA - HVIOG 9-20-2026.csv. User-authorized research archive, September 20, 2026. Contains the 20,305 source division rows. User-owned control; not an independent receipts or attendance audit.
- [S2] Official Mustang tourism park profile. Oklahoma Department of Tourism identifies Wild Horse Park, 1201 N. Mustang Rd, six baseball and five softball fields; current descriptions are not property deeds.
- [S3] Mustang Parks & Recreation official facility listing. City parks page / contact at 1201 N. Mustang Road, Mustang; municipal stewardship context, not historical operator receipts.
- [S4] El Reno July 14, 2026 amended City Council agenda. Consent-agenda proposal for City–El Reno Youth Softball Association user agreement covering Joe Riley Complex softball fields at Legion Park; agenda alone does not prove approval/execution.
- [S5] El Reno official finance and operating-budget archive. Municipal budget and annual finance resources; facility financial attribution requires underlying ledger documentation.
- [S6] El Reno independent audit / single-audit archive. Annual FY2025 and earlier audit links, separate from County government audits and source event models.
- [S7] Mustang official Comprehensive Annual Financial Report notice. City notice published December 2, 2022, discussing fiscal 2018 auditor statements. Historical scope, not a 2026 current audit conclusion.
- [S8] Canadian County official audit index. County government audit list; distinctly separate from Mustang/El Reno city audit obligations.
- [S9] Oklahoma State Auditor: Canadian County Treasurer Statutory Report. Period December 31, 2024; limited procedures, dated February 20, 2025; no exceptions noted within that scope, no basic-financial-statement opinion.
- [S10] District Attorneys Council — District 4. Official county jurisdiction and District Attorney office: includes Canadian County.
- [S11] OSCN Oklahoma court docket search. Primary state court portal for identifying case numbers, orders and dispositions; no case outcome asserted in this article.
- [S12] Oklahoma Open Records Act state statutes. State law reference to 51 O.S. §§ 24A.1 et seq., subject to amendments; verify redaction and procedural questions directly.
- [S13] Mustang Youth Baseball & Softball self-published site. Current organization gate schedule: $6 adults / $4 seniors or military. Not an official historic accounting record and not applied to model years.
- [S14] Mustang formal records request — outgoing correspondence — Archival 10-29-2026 BCMSPORTS Mail - OPEN RECORDS REQUEST.pdf. Private outgoing-email archive; formal request and completed City form sent October 29, 2026; municipal response/production not verified as of November 1.
- [S15] El Reno formal records request — outgoing correspondence — Archival 10-30-2026 BCMSPORTS Mail - Formal Oklahoma Open Records Act Request — El Reno Youth Sports Facilities...pdf. Private outgoing-email archive; actual email sent October 31, 2026, 9:03 a.m., regardless of archive filename date.
- [S16] USSSA source event: 2021 Mustang rainout. CSV names the event Rainout – Mustang’s Firecracker Classic; the listed USSSA URL was not independently retrievable during this review. Neither the title nor the modeled values prove games or ticket sales.
- [S17] USSSA source event: 2023 Mustang Western Days. Source-listed URL associated with row TournamentID 13825-1; season 2023 but event dates begin Sept. 17, 2022. The external page was not independently retrievable during this review.
- [S18] Oklahoma State Auditor and Inspector. State-level audit search for other entity-specific reports and periods; do not merge county and municipal governments.
- [S19] 2026 El Reno City Council agenda index. Agenda and minutes search; verify July 14 final vote and actual signed agreement before stating outcome.
- [S20] Oklahoma Attorney General Open Records guidance. Public guidance; not an adjudication of any request dispute.
Bottom line — Canadian County, Day 17: 32 event groups, 86 division records and 652 team participations produce a reproducible model of $130,673 gross entry fees, $178,800 gross admission assumptions, $89,400 gross concession assumptions and $383,724 gross visitor-spending scenarios, not verified transactions or public benefit. Twelve multi-location events remain unresolved; one “Rainout” event requires specific transaction and play-status verification. The next evidence step is obtaining verified municipal use agreements, facility maps, deposit/expense records and published operator responses—not drawing conclusions about misconduct.
Publication status: RESEARCH DRAFT — NOT PUBLISHED. No records requests sent in preparing this article. Prepared November 1, 2026 for Integrity of the Game vs Economic Impact (Politics) — The Oklahoma Business Plan.
